The impact of the recent regulatory focus on capital is evident in the year-end numbers released by the FDIC yesterday: lending is down, particularly among smaller banks.
The lending trend among banks with fewer than $100 million in assets speaks volumes. Here is the situation in six Upper Midwest states:
Illinois – At year-end 2009, the 273 smaller banks (less than $100 million in assets) had total loans of $12.4 billion and a loan-to-deposit ratio of 69.9 percent. At year-end 2011, total loans at the state’s 243 smaller banks were $11.8 billion and the loan-to-deposit ratio was 63.0 percent.
Iowa – At year-end 2009, the 180 smaller banks had total loans of $6.3 billion and a loan-to-deposit ratio of 75.4 percent. At year-end 2011, total loans at the state’s 160 smaller banks were $5.4 billion and the loan-to-deposit ratio was 69.3 percent.
Minnesota – At year-end 2009, the 241 smaller banks had total loans at year-end of $7.8 billion and a loan-to-deposit ratio of 78.6 percent. At year-end 2011, total loans at the state’s 220 smaller banks were $6.8 billion and the loan-to-deposit ratio was 70.7 percent.
Nebraska – At year-end 2009, the 152 smaller banks had total loans of $5.5 billion and a loan-to-deposit ratio of 79.3 percent. At year-end 2011, total loans at the state’s 127 smaller banks were $3.7 billion and the loan-to-deposit ratio was 75.1 percent.
North Dakota – At year-end 2009, the 58 smaller banks had total loans of $1.8 billion and a loan-to-deposit ratio of 71.2 percent. At year-end 2011, total loans at the state’s 48 smaller banks were $1.4 billion and the loan-to-deposit ratio was 62.6 percent.
South Dakota – At year-end 2009, the 50 smaller banks had total loans of $1.5 billion and a loan-to-deposit ratio of 76.1 percent. At year-end 2011, total loans at the state’s 44 smaller banks was $1.2 billion and the loan-to-deposit ratio was 70.1 percent.
It is important to note that the statistics show total lending in Illinois, Nebraska, North Dakota and South Dakota was up over the last three years since larger banks experienced loan growth. In Iowa, the total lending level was virtually unchanged.
It should not come as a surprise that regulatory demands for increased capital should hurt lending at smaller banks more than at larger banks. At larger banks, particularly those that have access to capital markets, raising additional capital is easier than it is at smaller banks. At many smaller banks, the only way to raise the capital level is the shrink the balance sheet, which means less lending.
Furthermore, deposits are way up from 2009, making the current loan-to-deposit ratios look particularly weak.
Critics are quick to say that smaller banks don’t want to lend but I don’t think that is it at all. Banks make their money by lending, so it is hard to argue they don’t want to lend. By demanding more capital, regulators can say they are making smaller banks safer, but at the same time, they are making them less useful. And that’s a shame for everyone.